Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MORE +180 BEL -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +7 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -4.6 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+33.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -1.0 (+8.0) | 137.1 (+33.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -1.8 (+8.8) | 135.6 (+35.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -1.9 (+8.9) | 139.2 (+31.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -1.9 (+8.9) | 138.4 (+32.6) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2022 | MORE 53 – 51 BEL |
| Feb 11, 2022 | BEL 48 – 47 MORE |
| Jan 21, 2022 | MORE 83 – 74 BEL |
| Mar 7, 2021 | MORE 86 – 71 BEL |
| Feb 13, 2021 | BEL 73 – 58 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 26-4 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 18-2 |
| Home | 12-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 8-5 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 81.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#153) | 7.6 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#118) | 1.72 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#127) | 1.39 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#60) | 0.567 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 50.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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