Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | BEL -475 MORE +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +1 | 95 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -11.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-50.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -9.3 (-8.3) | 140.4 (-45.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -11.2 (-10.2) | 146.2 (-51.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -10.2 (-9.2) | 145.5 (-50.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -10.0 (-9.0) | 142.1 (-47.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2022 | MORE 53 – 51 BEL |
| Jan 21, 2022 | MORE 83 – 74 BEL |
| Mar 7, 2021 | MORE 86 – 71 BEL |
| Feb 27, 2021 | MORE 89 – 82 BEL |
| Feb 13, 2021 | BEL 73 – 58 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 10-5 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#38) | 2.7 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#42) | 1.37 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#51) | 1.60 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#36) | 0.564 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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