Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +2 | 104 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -5.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-36.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -4.6 (-6.6) | 138.0 (-34.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -5.3 (-7.3) | 140.8 (-36.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -5.1 (-7.1) | 141.6 (-37.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -4.8 (-6.8) | 139.7 (-35.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2022 | BEL 48 – 47 MORE |
| Jan 21, 2022 | MORE 83 – 74 BEL |
| Mar 7, 2021 | MORE 86 – 71 BEL |
| Feb 27, 2021 | MORE 89 – 82 BEL |
| Feb 13, 2021 | BEL 73 – 58 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 10-5 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#66) | 2.6 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#46) | 0.54 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#61) | 0.61 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#28) | 0.539 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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