Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -275 MORE +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +15 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -5.9 (-20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -3.3 (-18.3) | 137.8 (+19.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -3.6 (-18.6) | 136.9 (+20.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -3.6 (-18.6) | 137.8 (+19.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -3.6 (-18.6) | 138.8 (+18.2) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2022 | MORE 53 – 51 BEL |
| Feb 11, 2022 | BEL 48 – 47 MORE |
| Jan 21, 2022 | MORE 83 – 74 BEL |
| Feb 27, 2021 | MORE 89 – 82 BEL |
| Feb 13, 2021 | BEL 73 – 58 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-4 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 17-3 |
| Home | 11-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 10-2 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.3 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 64.7 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#86) | 1.0 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#66) | 0.93 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#96) | 0.79 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#69) | 0.566 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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