I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CAN -1.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money QUIN +120 / CAN -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual CAN +19 159 Lost
Massey QUIN -1.4 (-20.4) — —
Massey Totals — 137.0 (+22.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 24% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 26% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -1.1 (-20.1) 138.9 (+20.1) 55% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAN -0.6 (-18.4) 142.0 (+17.0) 43% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -0.1 (-19.1) 141.4 (+17.6) 45% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -1.2 (-20.2) 138.6 (+20.4) 55% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 QUIN 67 – 63 CAN
Feb 6, 2026 QUIN 75 – 60 CAN
Feb 7, 2025 QUIN 89 – 71 CAN
Mar 13, 2024 QUIN 76 – 52 CAN
Feb 4, 2024 QUIN 88 – 63 CAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN CAN
Overall 9-13 7-6
Conference 7-10 7-5
Home 8-5 3-1
Away 1-5 4-4
Neutral 0-3 0-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.5 70.4
Avg Pts Against 69.0 71.2
Massey -5.6 (#258) -4.4 (#236)
Bradley-Terry -1.21 (#264) 0.40 (#148)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.25 (#254) 0.28 (#152)
RPI 0.420 (#293) 0.549 (#81)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN CAN
FG% 41.0% 37.9%
3PT% 33.6% 29.4%
REB / G 37.1 36.0
OREB / G 7.5 11.1
AST / TO 0.81 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 44.2%
TOV% 21.3% 18.3%
ORB% 21.3% 28.2%
FT Rate 25.8% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.9% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 21.6%
DRB% 70.8% 74.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 18.9%

Game Analysis

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