Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -700 TCU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +15 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -12.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -11.2 (+3.8) | 147.2 (-22.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -9.7 (+5.3) | 143.1 (-18.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -11.1 (+3.9) | 143.6 (-18.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -11.1 (+3.9) | 147.8 (-22.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | TEX 77 – 66 TCU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 66 – 60 TCU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | TCU 75 – 73 TEX |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TEX 79 – 75 TCU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | TCU 65 – 60 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 12-14 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-2 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#24) | 3.1 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#12) | 2.00 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.93 (#8) | 1.97 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#11) | 0.544 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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