Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -400 NU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +14 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -7.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -7.8 (+6.2) | 138.3 (-24.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -6.0 (+8.0) | 138.8 (-24.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -7.4 (+6.6) | 138.8 (-24.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -7.9 (+6.1) | 136.7 (-22.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | RUTG 77 – 75 NU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | RUTG 79 – 72 NU |
| Feb 15, 2024 | RUTG 63 – 60 NU |
| Mar 6, 2023 | NU 65 – 53 RUTG |
| Jan 12, 2023 | RUTG 65 – 62 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#29) | 7.8 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#29) | 0.94 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#20) | 1.91 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#42) | 0.485 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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