Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -188 NU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +3 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -0.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -0.2 (+2.8) | 133.3 (-10.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -1.5 (+1.5) | 130.0 (-7.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -0.8 (+2.2) | 131.8 (-8.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -0.7 (+2.3) | 132.5 (-9.5) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | RUTG 77 – 75 NU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | RUTG 79 – 72 NU |
| Mar 6, 2023 | NU 65 – 53 RUTG |
| Jan 12, 2023 | RUTG 65 – 62 NU |
| Feb 2, 2022 | NU 79 – 78 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#86) | 9.3 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#77) | 2.13 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#74) | 2.73 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#110) | 0.575 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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