They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · February 15, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -3.5 Away covered
O/U 129.5 Under
Money RUTG -188 / NU +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +3 123 Won
Massey RUTG -0.8 (+2.2)
Massey Totals 131.1 (-8.1)
Bradley-Terry 46%
Weighted B-T 43%
Efficiency Plus ML RUTG -1.5 (+1.5) 130.0 (-7.0) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -0.8 (+2.2) 131.8 (-8.8) 54%
Baseline ML RUTG -0.7 (+2.3) 132.5 (-9.5) 51%
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -0.2 (+2.8) 133.3 (-10.3) 54%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 RUTG 7775 NU
Jan 30, 2025 RUTG 7972 NU
Mar 6, 2023 NU 6553 RUTG
Jan 12, 2023 RUTG 6562 NU
Feb 2, 2022 NU 7978 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG NU
Overall 15-17 22-12
Conference 7-13 12-8
Home 12-5 15-2
Away 3-9 4-7
Neutral 0-3 3-3
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 65.4 73.3
Avg Pts Against 66.5 69.1
Massey 6.8 (#86) 9.3 (#61)
Bradley-Terry 1.33 (#77) 2.13 (#33)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.75 (#74) 2.73 (#25)
RPI 0.542 (#110) 0.575 (#55)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG NU
FG% 39.1% 46.6%
3PT% 29.0% 39.5%
REB / G 38.8 30.8
OREB / G 12.9 8.4
AST / TO 1.01 1.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.7% 53.8%
TOV% 16.8% 13.6%
ORB% 31.5% 25.7%
FT Rate 21.6% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.5% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 21.7% 20.2%
DRB% 69.5% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 30.4%

Game Analysis

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