Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | NU -450 RUTG +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +7 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -7.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -6.0 (-13.0) | 147.8 (+3.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -6.9 (-13.9) | 147.5 (+3.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -5.9 (-12.9) | 145.4 (+5.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -6.1 (-13.1) | 146.6 (+4.4) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | RUTG 77 – 75 NU |
| Feb 15, 2024 | RUTG 63 – 60 NU |
| Mar 6, 2023 | NU 65 – 53 RUTG |
| Jan 12, 2023 | RUTG 65 – 62 NU |
| Feb 2, 2022 | NU 79 – 78 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#48) | 7.2 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#64) | 1.21 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#55) | 1.82 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#70) | 0.550 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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