And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Big Ten Conference · Welsh-Ryan Arena · January 12, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -1.5 Away covered
O/U 126.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total NU win
Actual RUTG +3 127 Lost
Massey RUTG -0.6 (-2.4)
Massey Totals 114.7 (+12.3)
Bradley-Terry 81%
Weighted B-T 80%
Efficiency Plus ML NU -0.7 (-3.7) 129.1 (-2.1) 52%
Baseline Tuned ML NU -0.5 (-3.5) 125.9 (+1.1) 53%
Baseline ML NU -1.0 (-4.0) 127.5 (-0.5) 45%
Baseline Plus ML NU -0.5 (-3.5) 130.5 (-3.5) 46%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 RUTG 7775 NU
Jan 30, 2025 RUTG 7972 NU
Feb 15, 2024 RUTG 6360 NU
Mar 6, 2023 NU 6553 RUTG
Feb 2, 2022 NU 7978 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NU RUTG
Overall 22-12 19-15
Conference 12-8 10-10
Home 13-5 14-6
Away 7-4 4-7
Neutral 2-3 1-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 67.7 68.4
Avg Pts Against 62.8 61.1
Massey 10.2 (#39) 14.9 (#12)
Bradley-Terry 2.11 (#34) 1.36 (#66)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.29 (#48) 1.77 (#68)
RPI 0.590 (#43) 0.565 (#68)
Shooting & Four Factors NU RUTG
FG% 38.5% 43.9%
3PT% 31.6% 31.4%
REB / G 38.5 38.4
OREB / G 11.6 12.3
AST / TO 1.25 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.2% 48.6%
TOV% 16.0% 17.9%
ORB% 30.3% 34.3%
FT Rate 25.2% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.7% 42.9%
Opp TOV% 23.1% 25.1%
DRB% 74.1% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 19.3% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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