Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +3 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -0.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 114.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -0.5 (-3.5) | 130.5 (-3.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -0.7 (-3.7) | 129.1 (-2.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -0.5 (-3.5) | 125.9 (+1.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -1.0 (-4.0) | 127.5 (-0.5) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | RUTG 77 – 75 NU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | RUTG 79 – 72 NU |
| Feb 15, 2024 | RUTG 63 – 60 NU |
| Mar 6, 2023 | NU 65 – 53 RUTG |
| Feb 2, 2022 | NU 79 – 78 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-5 | 14-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 61.1 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#39) | 14.9 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#34) | 1.36 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#48) | 1.77 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#43) | 0.565 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 42.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 25.1% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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