Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +1 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | NU -7.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -5.3 (-4.3) | 134.0 (+23.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -5.3 (-4.3) | 134.6 (+22.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -4.9 (-3.9) | 134.4 (+22.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -4.8 (-3.8) | 138.1 (+18.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | RUTG 77 – 75 NU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | RUTG 79 – 72 NU |
| Feb 15, 2024 | RUTG 63 – 60 NU |
| Mar 6, 2023 | NU 65 – 53 RUTG |
| Jan 12, 2023 | RUTG 65 – 62 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#65) | 3.7 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#122) | 0.93 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#111) | 1.37 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#152) | 0.514 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.79 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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