Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | TNST +275 EKU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +20 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -8.3 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -7.0 (-13.0) | 146.5 (+19.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -7.0 (-13.0) | 152.2 (+13.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -7.7 (-12.3) | 151.0 (+15.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -8.2 (-11.8) | 146.3 (+19.7) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2021 | EKU 89 – 84 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-19 | 22-7 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 15-5 |
| Home | 4-8 | 10-2 |
| Away | 0-10 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#315) | 0.2 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.09 (#337) | 0.53 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.60 (#333) | -0.06 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.366 (#339) | 0.534 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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