Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -800 TNST +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +5 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -14.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -12.1 (-7.1) | 154.1 (+18.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -11.1 (-6.1) | 156.7 (+16.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -12.8 (-7.8) | 154.8 (+18.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -12.6 (-7.6) | 155.7 (+17.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2021 | EKU 93 – 73 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-7 | 4-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 3-17 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-8 |
| Away | 9-4 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#147) | -11.0 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#132) | -2.97 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#179) | -3.47 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#111) | 0.384 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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