Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | RAD +210 WIN -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +8 | 102 | Lost |
| Massey | WIN -4.4 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-44.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -3.3 (-4.7) | 144.7 (-42.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -2.4 (-5.6) | 139.4 (-37.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -3.3 (-4.7) | 144.4 (-42.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -3.1 (-4.9) | 145.2 (-43.2) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | WIN 80 – 78 RAD |
| Jan 21, 2026 | WIN 76 – 75 RAD |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WIN 78 – 74 RAD |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RAD 87 – 67 WIN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WIN 85 – 69 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 23-2 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 17-1 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 10-0 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#177) | 6.1 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#215) | 1.72 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#216) | 2.56 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#128) | 0.583 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.