Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU +225 MRMK -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +20 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -2.8 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -1.9 (-18.1) | 133.3 (-9.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -1.6 (-18.4) | 132.1 (-8.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -2.2 (-17.8) | 134.7 (-10.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -1.8 (-18.2) | 132.5 (-8.5) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | MRMK 71 – 68 CCSU |
| Jan 15, 2024 | CCSU 75 – 70 MRMK |
| Feb 24, 2023 | MRMK 70 – 54 CCSU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | MRMK 64 – 61 CCSU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | CCSU 60 – 57 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-16 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 3-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#296) | -3.6 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#245) | 0.33 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#250) | 0.11 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#248) | 0.501 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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