Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -800 UNF +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +20 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -15.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -12.8 (+7.2) | 135.7 (+4.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -12.8 (+7.2) | 135.5 (+4.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -12.1 (+7.9) | 136.8 (+3.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -12.9 (+7.1) | 136.7 (+3.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2023 | LIB 73 – 62 UNF |
| Feb 16, 2022 | UNF 72 – 69 LIB |
| Jan 12, 2022 | LIB 71 – 56 UNF |
| Feb 12, 2021 | LIB 73 – 61 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-6 | 8-15 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 6-6 |
| Home | 13-0 | 5-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#102) | -8.4 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#113) | -1.59 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#101) | -1.81 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#144) | 0.432 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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