Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -15.0 Push |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -1700 UNF +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +15 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -16.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -13.6 (+1.4) | 139.4 (-12.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -16.2 (-1.2) | 139.3 (-12.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -13.3 (+1.7) | 141.9 (-14.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -13.5 (+1.5) | 142.0 (-15.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2023 | LIB 73 – 62 UNF |
| Feb 16, 2022 | UNF 72 – 69 LIB |
| Feb 13, 2021 | LIB 80 – 60 UNF |
| Feb 12, 2021 | LIB 73 – 61 UNF |
Game Analysis
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