Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -700 UNF +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -16.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -13.4 (-1.4) | 136.6 (-2.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -13.2 (-1.2) | 137.2 (-3.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -13.9 (-1.9) | 137.6 (-3.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -13.7 (-1.7) | 138.3 (-4.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2023 | LIB 73 – 62 UNF |
| Feb 16, 2022 | UNF 72 – 69 LIB |
| Jan 12, 2022 | LIB 71 – 56 UNF |
| Feb 13, 2021 | LIB 80 – 60 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-6 | 8-15 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 6-6 |
| Home | 13-0 | 5-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#99) | -8.5 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#115) | -1.52 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#102) | -1.76 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#148) | 0.429 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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