Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UNF +550 LIB -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -11.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -11.5 (+0.5) | 140.8 (-5.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -11.3 (+0.3) | 140.8 (-5.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -11.5 (+0.5) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -11.5 (+0.5) | 141.6 (-6.6) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2022 | UNF 72 – 69 LIB |
| Jan 12, 2022 | LIB 71 – 56 UNF |
| Feb 13, 2021 | LIB 80 – 60 UNF |
| Feb 12, 2021 | LIB 73 – 61 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-2 | 19-1 |
| Away | 3-14 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#287) | 8.5 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#212) | 1.27 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#237) | 1.61 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#184) | 0.559 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 78.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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