Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -7.8 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -5.2 (+8.2) | 139.2 (+1.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -7.3 (+10.3) | 139.3 (+1.7) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -5.5 (+8.5) | 139.7 (+1.3) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -5.5 (+8.5) | 140.7 (+0.3) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2023 | LIB 73 – 62 UNF |
| Jan 12, 2022 | LIB 71 – 56 UNF |
| Feb 13, 2021 | LIB 80 – 60 UNF |
| Feb 12, 2021 | LIB 73 – 61 UNF |
Game Analysis
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