Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC +100 EIU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -0.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -0.1 (+13.1) | 138.5 (+8.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -0.2 (+13.2) | 136.6 (+10.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -0.3 (+13.3) | 140.1 (+6.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -0.1 (+12.9) | 139.1 (+7.9) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | EIU 60 – 54 TNTC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | EIU 71 – 61 TNTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TNTC 59 – 54 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TNTC 69 – 64 EIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TNTC 75 – 67 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-22 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 6-14 |
| Home | 5-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 0-16 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#328) | -9.4 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#335) | -1.81 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.55 (#332) | -2.61 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#310) | 0.414 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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