Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -4000 AMCC +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +28 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -23.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -19.7 (+8.3) | 136.4 (+1.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -19.5 (+8.5) | 135.9 (+2.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -21.4 (+6.6) | 136.5 (+1.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -23.1 (+4.9) | 138.6 (-0.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 20, 2024 | ACU 73 – 63 AMCC |
| Feb 9, 2021 | ACU 82 – 69 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 13-2 | 2-13 |
| Home | 13-0 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-4 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.6 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#73) | -12.9 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#81) | -4.67 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#89) | -6.40 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#101) | 0.377 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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