Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC +1200 ACU -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +13 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -18.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -12.4 (-0.6) | 133.1 (+17.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -14.0 (+1.0) | 132.4 (+18.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -15.0 (+2.0) | 133.4 (+17.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -14.0 (+1.0) | 136.7 (+14.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 20, 2024 | ACU 73 – 63 AMCC |
| Feb 13, 2021 | ACU 83 – 55 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 13-2 |
| Home | 4-8 | 13-0 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 61.6 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#333) | 7.8 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.53 (#346) | 1.23 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.32 (#348) | 1.52 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.364 (#338) | 0.553 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 28.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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