Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -213 ACU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +10 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -1.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -2.0 (-12.0) | 138.7 (-2.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -2.2 (-12.2) | 137.6 (-1.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -2.4 (-12.4) | 138.3 (-2.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -2.2 (-12.2) | 140.0 (-4.0) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2021 | ACU 83 – 55 AMCC |
| Feb 9, 2021 | ACU 82 – 69 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#187) | -3.2 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#216) | -0.30 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#213) | -0.31 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#168) | 0.470 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.2% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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