Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH +170 AKR -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -5.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -4.1 (-2.9) | 143.4 (+15.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -2.8 (-4.2) | 144.6 (+14.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -3.6 (-3.4) | 145.3 (+13.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -3.7 (-3.3) | 144.3 (+14.7) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | M-OH 76 – 73 AKR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | AKR 76 – 74 M-OH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AKR 102 – 75 M-OH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | AKR 75 – 63 M-OH |
| Jan 27, 2024 | M-OH 70 – 68 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 15-8 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-4 | 9-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#186) | 6.2 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#208) | 0.99 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#199) | 1.29 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#230) | 0.543 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.