Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -333 ELON +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +18 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -7.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -5.9 (+12.1) | 134.7 (-10.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -5.6 (+12.4) | 131.8 (-7.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -6.4 (+11.6) | 134.4 (-10.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -6.0 (+12.0) | 134.0 (-10.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | COFC 80 – 70 ELON |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COFC 85 – 81 ELON |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COFC 88 – 83 ELON |
| Jan 26, 2025 | COFC 76 – 62 ELON |
| Jan 12, 2024 | COFC 80 – 62 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 4-7 |
| Home | 8-6 | 4-2 |
| Away | 1-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#231) | -9.0 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#224) | -1.56 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#226) | -2.10 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#268) | 0.417 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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