I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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76–34 on winners spread MAE 9.6 110 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Penn State +0.7 135.7 57% 73–52 ✗
Drake @ Bradley -6.4 135.2 35% 80–71 ✓
Missouri State @ Evansville -5.9 135.0 25% 90–81 ✓
Indiana State @ Valparaiso -2.8 131.0 38% 58–43 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Sacred Heart +2.1 154.3 61% 64–70 ✓
Richmond @ Saint Louis +2.9 137.3 68% 67–72 ✓
Arkansas State @ UT Arlington +2.0 138.6 61% 71–73 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Troy -4.9 131.2 32% 75–59 ✓
North Texas @ Marshall +2.9 139.2 61% 77–65 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Old Dominion +9.1 136.6 81% 61–67 ✓
UAB @ UTSA -2.4 143.6 42% 64–57 ✓
Bowling Green @ Akron +4.8 153.5 68% 83–71 ✗
UC San Diego @ UC Irvine +9.7 139.3 85% 55–80 ✓
Southern Utah @ Northern Arizona -7.7 142.4 24% 92–62 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho -10.6 138.1 18% 69–74 ✗
Louisiana @ Little Rock +1.7 141.9 58% 66–61 ✗
Rice @ Louisiana Tech +7.8 143.7 81% 57–101 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Southern Miss -0.7 136.1 43% 69–60 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Utah Valley +2.8 143.8 65% 74–78 ✓
New Mexico State @ Tarleton State -2.0 129.8 37% 78–51 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota State +7.8 133.9 81% 49–67 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Loyola Chicago +15.7 126.1 90% 52–60 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State -0.1 137.1 52% 70–56 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +6.8 141.5 78% 72–75 ✓
Georgia State @ South Alabama +0.3 147.8 46% 84–81 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Seattle U -5.5 135.5 30% 57–63 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield +9.1 137.0 76% 58–84 ✓
Fresno State @ UNLV +2.9 129.0 63% 67–68 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside -0.7 134.6 39% 72–68 ✓
Long Beach State @ Hawai'i +8.6 150.3 84% 76–78 ✓
Michigan @ Indiana -3.6 139.5 35% 73–57 ✓
Texas @ Texas Tech +2.5 135.7 68% 59–68 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn -1.9 144.4 50% 72–77 ✗
Navy @ Loyola Maryland +0.2 136.2 41% 73–67 ✗
Georgetown @ DePaul +0.1 138.8 53% 68–60 ✗
Syracuse @ Georgia Tech +3.1 147.9 67% 77–84 ✓
Liberty @ Bellarmine -1.4 127.5 40% 94–78 ✓
Stony Brook @ UMass Lowell -0.7 133.4 47% 62–64 ✗
South Carolina @ Georgia +4.2 156.5 67% 91–70 ✗
Mercer @ Western Carolina -4.9 149.2 33% 61–85 ✗
Central Michigan @ Ball State +9.0 153.5 85% 91–97 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan +2.7 137.1 61% 57–91 ✓
Montana @ Idaho State -1.3 129.3 36% 59–58 ✓
Illinois @ Wisconsin -1.6 136.2 47% 74–69 ✓
LSU @ Arkansas +4.8 156.7 77% 75–83 ✓
North Florida @ Stetson +3.7 145.9 69% 68–85 ✓
Binghamton @ Hartford +6.1 133.1 76% 60–77 ✓
Presbyterian @ Hampton +1.6 133.1 51% 65–67 ✓
American University @ Bucknell +3.4 145.5 69% 78–71 ✗
Florida A&M @ South Carolina State -7.4 134.2 21% 57–63 ✗
Washington @ Arizona +13.4 144.3 87% 74–75 ✓
VCU @ Davidson +1.1 129.5 55% 57–65 ✓
Miami @ Clemson +9.5 131.9 84% 58–66 ✓
Notre Dame @ Boston College -2.3 151.1 43% 90–94 ✗
Rice @ Louisiana Tech +8.3 142.2 82% 58–79 ✓
North Texas @ Marshall +2.7 138.3 59% 72–73 ✓
Buffalo @ Ohio +0.3 156.9 52% 86–66 ✗
Portland State @ Northern Colorado -0.3 132.8 45% 73–65 ✓
Weber State @ Sacramento State -8.3 147.1 23% 72–70 ✓
Marquette @ UConn +5.5 132.2 72% 62–80 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma +3.3 141.3 71% 94–90 ✗
Boston University @ Army +6.7 140.7 76% 75–63 ✗
Lipscomb @ North Alabama -2.6 135.7 41% 66–73 ✗
App State @ Georgia Southern +0.4 135.0 50% 57–65 ✓
Ole Miss @ Vanderbilt -2.3 134.4 41% 70–75 ✗
Kansas State @ West Virginia +14.1 137.2 88% 43–65 ✓
Florida State @ North Carolina -0.0 147.2 55% 70–78 ✗
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech +7.7 134.0 83% 46–84 ✓
Boise State @ San Diego State +5.0 132.7 77% 58–62 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ High Point +4.3 130.2 67% 60–65 ✓
Lehigh @ Lafayette +8.3 151.2 75% 69–75 ✓
Oregon @ California -6.9 128.9 25% 74–63 ✓
Air Force @ Colorado State +16.7 133.4 90% 49–72 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Northwestern State +2.5 146.4 64% 61–79 ✓
Florida @ Kentucky +0.4 139.8 51% 71–67 ✗
Belmont @ Morehead State -1.0 137.1 53% 82–89 ✗
UAB @ UTSA -2.2 142.1 43% 79–96 ✗
Pepperdine @ San Diego -4.2 147.4 32% 90–84 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ East Tennessee State +0.8 132.2 54% 85–74 ✗
La Salle @ George Mason +4.4 138.9 72% 54–89 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota +1.0 135.0 62% 71–80 ✓
Kent State @ Miami (OH) -1.7 143.6 47% 64–51 ✓
Creighton @ Xavier -1.5 146.7 51% 69–77 ✗
NJIT @ UAlbany +2.2 133.5 61% 66–76 ✓
Western Illinois @ Oral Roberts +8.7 159.1 76% 81–85 ✓
UT Martin @ Eastern Illinois +6.5 140.8 73% 73–68 ✗
Austin Peay @ Jacksonville State +3.8 140.1 64% 67–75 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Troy -4.8 131.7 32% 76–71 ✓
Arkansas State @ UT Arlington +2.0 138.2 62% 56–64 ✓
Louisiana @ Little Rock +1.6 141.0 57% 59–69 ✓
UL Monroe @ Texas State +9.0 124.7 79% 57–61 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Southern Miss -0.3 133.0 44% 73–66 ✓
Western Michigan @ Toledo +14.6 144.3 89% 44–91 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal Poly -6.2 137.3 23% 68–66 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Lamar -8.3 142.6 20% 83–88 ✗
Alcorn State @ Southern +5.6 136.6 72% 75–89 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alabama State -7.3 136.0 19% 86–76 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama A&M -5.0 131.8 23% 55–54 ✓
Alabama @ Mississippi State -1.9 144.5 45% 64–59 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Loyola Chicago +15.2 125.1 90% 58–65 ✓
Elon @ UNC Wilmington +3.5 138.7 62% 80–77 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State -0.2 137.0 52% 94–87 ✓
Indiana State @ Valparaiso -2.8 130.2 36% 58–70 ✗
Louisville @ Duke +3.8 138.3 65% 80–73 ✗
Omaha @ Denver -1.2 145.3 35% 80–76 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ SIU Edwardsville -1.3 136.8 38% 69–63 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Central Arkansas -12.1 146.3 16% 82–84 ✗
Charlotte @ UTEP +4.5 128.9 73% 47–70 ✓
TCU @ Iowa State -1.0 135.5 42% 76–72 ✓
Oregon State @ Stanford +5.3 134.7 67% 73–62 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.