Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE +150 SEMO -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -1.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -0.6 (-5.4) | 142.1 (-10.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -1.3 (-4.7) | 136.8 (-4.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -0.8 (-5.2) | 139.7 (-7.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -1.0 (-5.0) | 140.9 (-8.9) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SIUE 69 – 48 SEMO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 2-8 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#323) | -7.4 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#302) | -1.49 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#302) | -1.93 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#274) | 0.445 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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