Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB -333 CSUN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +26 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -11.3 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -8.8 (+17.2) | 139.0 (+3.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -9.1 (+16.9) | 137.0 (+5.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -9.8 (+16.2) | 139.9 (+2.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -9.5 (+16.5) | 139.0 (+3.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUN 86 – 84 CSUB |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSUN 87 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CSUN 88 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | CSUB 94 – 90 CSUN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 9-2 | 4-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#152) | -8.2 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#140) | -0.87 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#140) | -1.31 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#140) | 0.428 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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