Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | LAF -333 LEH +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | LAF -9.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -8.8 (-2.8) | 154.1 (-10.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -8.3 (-2.3) | 151.2 (-7.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -9.3 (-3.3) | 154.3 (-10.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -8.8 (-2.8) | 152.0 (-8.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LEH 64 – 59 LAF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAF 78 – 70 LEH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | LEH 76 – 61 LAF |
Game Analysis
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