Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Chartway Arena · February 27, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ODU -10.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money ODU -600 / MTSU +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total ODU win
Actual ODU +6 128 Won
Massey ODU -10.4 (-4.4) — —
Massey Totals — 133.8 (-5.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ODU -9.1 (-3.1) 136.6 (-8.6) 81% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ODU -10.9 (-4.9) 139.1 (-11.1) 84% ✓
Baseline ML ODU -11.3 (-5.3) 139.8 (-11.8) 83% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ODU -10.9 (-4.9) 139.1 (-11.1) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2022 ODU 68 – 64 MTSU
Feb 11, 2022 MTSU 63 – 48 ODU
Feb 28, 2021 ODU 73 – 60 MTSU

Game Analysis

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