Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | MTSU -230 ODU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +15 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -8.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -6.0 (+9.0) | 137.4 (-26.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -7.4 (+7.6) | 139.8 (-28.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -8.0 (+7.0) | 141.5 (-30.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -7.8 (+7.2) | 140.0 (-29.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2022 | ODU 68 – 64 MTSU |
| Feb 28, 2021 | ODU 73 – 60 MTSU |
| Feb 27, 2021 | ODU 67 – 61 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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