Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -2.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -0.2 (+4.2) | 134.0 (-2.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -2.5 (+6.5) | 134.3 (-2.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -2.2 (+6.2) | 135.8 (-3.8) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -1.9 (+5.9) | 134.6 (-2.6) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2022 | MTSU 63 – 48 ODU |
| Feb 28, 2021 | ODU 73 – 60 MTSU |
| Feb 27, 2021 | ODU 67 – 61 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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