Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -600 MTSU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -10.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -8.6 (+4.4) | 134.4 (-1.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -10.8 (+2.2) | 138.0 (-5.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -10.9 (+2.1) | 136.9 (-3.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -10.7 (+2.3) | 136.9 (-3.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2022 | ODU 68 – 64 MTSU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | MTSU 63 – 48 ODU |
| Feb 27, 2021 | ODU 67 – 61 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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