Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ISU +100 TCU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -1.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -1.9 (-2.1) | 138.4 (+9.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -1.0 (-3.0) | 135.5 (+12.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -2.1 (-1.9) | 137.9 (+10.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -3.3 (-0.7) | 138.5 (+9.5) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | TCU 62 – 55 ISU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | ISU 82 – 52 TCU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ISU 71 – 59 TCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ISU 73 – 72 TCU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | ISU 70 – 59 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-22 | 12-14 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 5-11 |
| Home | 2-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 0-11 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L18 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#190) | 2.4 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#268) | 1.48 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#261) | 1.37 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#252) | 0.536 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.