Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +450 PV -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +1 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | PV -8.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -6.1 (+5.1) | 132.9 (-23.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -5.0 (+4.0) | 131.8 (-22.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -6.5 (+5.5) | 135.3 (-26.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -6.3 (+5.3) | 134.4 (-25.4) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | PV 74 – 55 AAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | AAMU 80 – 60 PV |
| Jan 28, 2025 | AAMU 98 – 82 PV |
| Jan 30, 2024 | PV 87 – 76 AAMU |
| Jan 24, 2023 | AAMU 67 – 59 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-9 | 16-5 |
| Conference | 4-9 | 13-0 |
| Home | 5-2 | 8-0 |
| Away | 1-7 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 64.2 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#335) | -3.0 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#265) | 0.39 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.68 (#320) | -0.15 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#256) | 0.523 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 26.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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