Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +140 PV -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +8 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | PV -1.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -2.4 (+10.4) | 139.2 (-13.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -3.1 (+11.1) | 137.0 (-11.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -2.7 (+10.7) | 135.8 (-9.8) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PV -2.4 (+10.4) | 135.6 (-9.6) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | PV 74 – 55 AAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | AAMU 80 – 60 PV |
| Jan 28, 2025 | AAMU 98 – 82 PV |
| Jan 30, 2024 | PV 87 – 76 AAMU |
| Jan 25, 2022 | PV 72 – 48 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-8 | 9-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#339) | -5.9 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#349) | -1.35 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.21 (#351) | -1.53 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.352 (#359) | 0.423 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 34.1% |
Game Analysis
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