Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | PV -260 AAMU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +24 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | PV -5.1 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -2.3 (+21.7) | 137.7 (-17.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -4.9 (+19.1) | 138.3 (-18.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -3.1 (+20.9) | 138.6 (-18.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -3.7 (+20.3) | 138.5 (-18.5) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | PV 74 – 55 AAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | AAMU 80 – 60 PV |
| Jan 28, 2025 | AAMU 98 – 82 PV |
| Jan 30, 2024 | PV 87 – 76 AAMU |
| Jan 24, 2023 | AAMU 67 – 59 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PV | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-19 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-15 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 61.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#319) | -11.4 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#319) | -2.02 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#331) | -2.48 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#283) | 0.390 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PV | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 40.3% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.7% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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