Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU -135 PV +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +19 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | AAMU -0.7 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -0.1 (-18.9) | 144.6 (-15.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -0.1 (-18.9) | 144.2 (-15.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -0.7 (-18.3) | 141.3 (-12.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -0.3 (-18.7) | 140.4 (-11.4) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | AAMU 80 – 60 PV |
| Jan 28, 2025 | AAMU 98 – 82 PV |
| Jan 30, 2024 | PV 87 – 76 AAMU |
| Jan 24, 2023 | AAMU 67 – 59 PV |
| Jan 25, 2022 | PV 72 – 48 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 19-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#312) | -11.0 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#269) | -1.47 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#265) | -1.83 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#270) | 0.449 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 33.9% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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