Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU -140 PV +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +16 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | PV -2.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -3.2 (+19.2) | 152.9 (+27.1) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -1.2 (+17.2) | 151.3 (+28.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -2.2 (+18.2) | 151.3 (+28.7) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PV -2.7 (+18.7) | 152.7 (+27.3) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | PV 74 – 55 AAMU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | AAMU 80 – 60 PV |
| Jan 30, 2024 | PV 87 – 76 AAMU |
| Jan 24, 2023 | AAMU 67 – 59 PV |
| Jan 25, 2022 | PV 72 – 48 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-9 | 3-7 |
| Away | 2-12 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -18.1 (#361) | -12.2 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.43 (#358) | -3.01 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.06 (#358) | -3.63 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.328 (#363) | 0.391 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 27.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 62.4% | 60.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
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