Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–16 on winners spread MAE 9.2 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Manhattan @ Siena +7.6 131.4 79% 56–64 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne +0.2 138.3 53% 75–86 ✓
Minnesota @ Nebraska -2.3 146.3 43% 74–78 ✗
Missouri State @ Evansville -5.6 136.6 29% 63–72 ✗
Drake @ Bradley -6.4 134.1 34% 61–67 ✗
Nicholls @ LSU New Orleans -2.3 150.3 36% 105–101 ✓
Tennessee State @ Eastern Kentucky +11.1 156.7 85% 84–89 ✓
Georgia State @ South Alabama +0.3 150.1 48% 82–73 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Old Dominion +8.6 134.4 81% 60–73 ✓
Furman @ Wofford -0.9 140.5 45% 73–74 ✗
UC San Diego @ UC Irvine +10.6 141.5 86% 64–75 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas -3.6 140.6 40% 58–71 ✗
USC @ Utah -5.1 136.4 35% 61–71 ✗
Rider @ Saint Peter's +8.3 128.8 77% 78–65 ✗
Coppin State @ Delaware State -6.0 157.0 26% 81–68 ✓
North Carolina Central @ North Carolina A&T +3.3 134.8 69% 53–55 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Utah Valley +2.1 147.0 61% 64–73 ✓
New Mexico State @ Tarleton State -4.3 126.2 33% 55–64 ✗
Houston Christian @ McNeese +0.2 152.0 52% 58–85 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota State +7.9 132.5 82% 77–89 ✓
Jackson State @ Mississippi Valley State -13.0 131.8 13% 68–54 ✓
Washington State @ Arizona State +1.4 144.7 62% 74–77 ✓
Murray State @ Tennessee Tech -8.2 139.2 26% 61–71 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Seattle U -2.7 130.9 41% 81–71 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Gonzaga +17.1 151.2 90% 69–86 ✓
Saint Mary's @ BYU +6.7 132.5 76% 51–65 ✓
San Francisco @ Pacific +0.2 136.4 59% 69–76 ✓
UCLA @ Colorado +4.5 133.2 72% 61–70 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside -0.9 132.0 39% 52–68 ✗
Long Beach State @ Hawai'i +8.3 150.1 82% 76–79 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield +9.8 138.5 80% 90–87 ✗
Villanova @ Butler -8.3 131.6 23% 61–73 ✗
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +0.5 134.2 61% 72–64 ✗
Memphis @ Cincinnati -3.3 140.1 46% 80–74 ✓
Florida A&M @ South Carolina State -7.0 131.7 20% 63–58 ✓
Michigan State @ Maryland +4.9 134.8 75% 55–73 ✓
UAlbany @ Hartford +1.7 132.7 64% 77–83 ✓
Boston University @ Army +4.9 139.6 70% 55–57 ✓
Charlotte @ UTEP +5.9 127.3 76% 62–77 ✓
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +13.6 146.7 88% 58–91 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho -8.5 138.8 18% 71–61 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +0.6 153.6 57% 73–57 ✗
South Florida @ Houston +17.1 132.7 90% 52–98 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +6.2 136.7 75% 58–66 ✓
Bucknell @ American University +3.6 144.0 64% 68–81 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Marist +1.6 132.6 65% 67–76 ✓
Pittsburgh @ NC State +3.4 139.1 62% 62–65 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota +2.1 136.7 62% 89–77 ✗
Coppin State @ Delaware State -5.9 157.2 27% 94–74 ✓
Western Illinois @ Oral Roberts +8.5 158.2 76% 59–95 ✓
Lafayette @ Lehigh -2.2 149.0 35% 71–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.