Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH +188 USC -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | USC -6.6 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -4.6 (+14.6) | 140.1 (-8.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -5.1 (+15.1) | 136.4 (-4.4) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -3.6 (+13.6) | 138.4 (-6.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USC -4.4 (+14.4) | 139.3 (-7.3) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | USC 68 – 64 UTAH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | USC 62 – 49 UTAH |
| Jan 15, 2023 | USC 71 – 56 UTAH |
| Jan 22, 2022 | USC 79 – 67 UTAH |
| Dec 2, 2021 | USC 93 – 73 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#90) | 15.0 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#122) | 2.37 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#103) | 3.19 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#149) | 0.615 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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