Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ASU -188 WSU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -2.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -2.4 (+0.6) | 148.2 (+2.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -1.4 (+1.6) | 144.7 (+6.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -2.5 (+0.5) | 148.8 (+2.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -2.6 (+0.4) | 148.0 (+3.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | ASU 100 – 94 WSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | ASU 73 – 61 WSU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | WSU 75 – 58 ASU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ASU 77 – 71 WSU |
| Feb 13, 2022 | ASU 58 – 55 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 7-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#99) | 4.8 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#124) | 0.91 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#114) | 1.30 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#148) | 0.518 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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