Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | HAW -250 LBSU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -10.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -8.7 (-5.7) | 149.2 (+5.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -8.3 (-5.3) | 150.1 (+4.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -9.6 (-6.6) | 149.0 (+6.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -8.1 (-5.1) | 149.9 (+5.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LBSU 84 – 75 HAW |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HAW 89 – 82 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | HAW 62 – 60 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LBSU 76 – 68 HAW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HAW 73 – 65 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-10 | 6-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-8 |
| Home | 7-5 | 4-3 |
| Away | 4-4 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#194) | -9.8 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#197) | -0.95 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#204) | -1.52 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#227) | 0.437 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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