Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LEH +150 LAF -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +1 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -4.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -2.0 (+1.0) | 151.3 (-10.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -2.2 (+1.2) | 149.0 (-8.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -1.9 (+0.9) | 152.9 (-11.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -1.6 (+0.6) | 151.6 (-10.6) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LEH 64 – 59 LAF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAF 78 – 70 LEH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | LEH 76 – 61 LAF |
Game Analysis
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