Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | SPU -450 RID +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -11.4 (-24.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -9.9 (-22.9) | 130.8 (+12.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -8.3 (-21.3) | 128.8 (+14.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -9.4 (-22.4) | 133.6 (+9.4) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -10.0 (-23.0) | 131.6 (+11.4) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 6-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-3 | 1-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#175) | -9.5 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | -1.52 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#143) | -1.84 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#127) | 0.429 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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