Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -175 HCU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +27 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | HCU -0.9 (+27.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -0.0 (+27.0) | 154.2 (-11.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -0.2 (+26.8) | 152.0 (-9.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -1.0 (+26.0) | 154.7 (-11.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -0.1 (+26.9) | 154.8 (-11.8) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 69 HCU |
| Dec 16, 2025 | MCN 78 – 68 HCU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | MCN 75 – 59 HCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | MCN 87 – 69 HCU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MCN 105 – 54 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-14 | 6-19 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 4-11 |
| Home | 7-5 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 81.1 |
| Massey | -14.7 (#336) | -11.4 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#339) | -2.49 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.10 (#339) | -3.08 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#342) | 0.411 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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