Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
New Hampshire Wildcats
64 – 72
FINAL Conference America East
UMass Lowell River Hawks
America East Conference · Lundholm Gymnasium · February 28, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UNH -2.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money UNH -154 / UML +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNH win
Actual UML +8 136 Lost
Massey UNH -1.3 (-9.3) — —
Massey Totals — 138.4 (-2.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 61% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UNH -1.8 (-9.8) 136.7 (-0.7) 60% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNH -0.5 (-8.5) 134.2 (+1.8) 61% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UNH -1.8 (-9.8) 136.4 (-0.4) 64% ✗
Baseline ML UNH -1.4 (-9.4) 135.9 (+0.1) 58% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 UML 78 – 56 UNH
Jan 29, 2026 UNH 66 – 61 UML
Feb 15, 2025 UNH 80 – 79 UML
Jan 25, 2025 UML 97 – 80 UNH
Feb 3, 2024 UNH 89 – 73 UML

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNH UML
Overall 10-9 11-12
Conference 9-6 7-8
Home 5-6 3-4
Away 5-3 6-6
Neutral 0-0 2-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.8 68.5
Avg Pts Against 67.3 70.9
Massey -4.3 (#242) -3.2 (#217)
Bradley-Terry -0.64 (#223) -0.80 (#234)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.87 (#225) -0.87 (#224)
RPI 0.479 (#205) 0.475 (#215)
Shooting & Four Factors UNH UML
FG% 39.8% 45.3%
3PT% 32.1% 34.5%
REB / G 36.7 34.6
OREB / G 10.5 9.1
AST / TO 0.94 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.7% 51.1%
TOV% 17.0% 21.5%
ORB% 27.4% 27.9%
FT Rate 21.8% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.9% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 17.0%
DRB% 78.0% 73.4%
Opp FT Rate 28.3% 27.9%

Game Analysis

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