Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -20000 LMU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +17 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -23.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -18.5 (-1.5) | 161.2 (-6.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -17.1 (-0.1) | 151.2 (+3.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -21.0 (-4.0) | 158.7 (-3.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -21.0 (-4.0) | 161.9 (-6.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2026 | GONZ 82 – 47 LMU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | GONZ 73 – 53 LMU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | GONZ 96 – 68 LMU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | GONZ 91 – 74 LMU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | GONZ 92 – 58 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 13-9 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 7-5 |
| Home | 12-0 | 8-3 |
| Away | 7-0 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 24.8 (#1) | 3.8 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.39 (#1) | 1.36 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.08 (#2) | 1.42 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.658 (#1) | 0.542 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 78.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.