Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | SEA +210 GCU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -5.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -1.9 (-8.1) | 131.0 (+21.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -2.7 (-7.3) | 130.9 (+21.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -2.5 (-7.5) | 131.6 (+20.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -2.8 (-7.2) | 131.2 (+20.8) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | GCU 63 – 60 SEA |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GCU 83 – 74 SEA |
| Mar 16, 2024 | GCU 80 – 72 SEA |
| Feb 2, 2024 | GCU 95 – 88 SEA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SEA 86 – 79 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 17-7 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 9-3 |
| Home | 6-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-1 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#255) | 2.8 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#271) | -0.30 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#254) | -0.07 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#301) | 0.490 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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